Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.207950 0.236695 0.267539 0.303044 0.342735 0.385683 0.435622
2025-11-09 0.165602 0.203225 0.246310 0.299119 0.361905 0.433965 0.522715
2025-11-16 0.136367 0.178721 0.230041 0.296414 0.379547 0.479761 0.609188
2025-11-23 0.114773 0.159612 0.216764 0.294281 0.395908 0.523742 0.695713
2025-11-30 0.101037 0.148198 0.211086 0.300047 0.421430 0.579853 0.800579
2025-12-07 0.088197 0.135993 0.202466 0.300227 0.438584 0.625317 0.893842
2025-12-14 0.077705 0.125552 0.194756 0.300251 0.454640 0.669456 0.987311
2025-12-21 0.069272 0.116957 0.188499 0.301252 0.471430 0.714906 1.084638
2025-12-28 0.062843 0.110563 0.184643 0.305048 0.492001 0.766368 1.192946
2026-01-04 0.058060 0.106160 0.183240 0.312143 0.517572 0.826145 1.316295
2026-01-11 0.053071 0.100773 0.179621 0.315178 0.536702 0.876950 1.428582
2026-01-18 0.048978 0.096413 0.177164 0.319660 0.558077 0.931971 1.549788
2026-01-25 0.045975 0.093847 0.177783 0.329804 0.590172 1.006961 1.708644
2026-02-01 0.041402 0.087839 0.171847 0.328221 0.602676 1.051511 1.821932
2026-02-08 0.037383 0.082378 0.166304 0.326739 0.615055 1.096353 1.937964
2026-02-15 0.033826 0.077369 0.161052 0.325212 0.627042 1.140965 2.055740
2026-02-22 0.031672 0.074944 0.160392 0.331971 0.653974 1.212018 2.221168
2026-03-01 0.029012 0.071110 0.156596 0.332416 0.669361 1.263892 2.356403
2026-03-08 0.026600 0.067499 0.152862 0.332580 0.684071 1.315140 2.492853
2026-03-15 0.024530 0.064383 0.149807 0.333753 0.700604 1.370284 2.638585
2026-03-22 0.022928 0.062144 0.148348 0.337958 0.723093 1.437149 2.808165
2026-03-29 0.021764 0.060799 0.148653 0.345761 0.752993 1.518940 3.008315
2026-04-05 0.020338 0.058623 0.146920 0.349101 0.774156 1.585436 3.183413